Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.424216 3.781931 4.169841 4.623195 5.140319 5.713929 6.401269
2025-09-21 2.877547 3.348628 3.894565 4.579294 5.422546 6.436769 7.763744
2025-09-28 2.455546 2.960338 3.572567 4.379448 5.429495 6.770415 8.646667
2025-10-05 2.248294 2.791447 3.475876 4.417017 5.702267 7.433763 10.010310
2025-10-12 2.104442 2.679580 3.428645 4.497761 6.022017 8.178096 11.576076
2025-10-19 1.985802 2.584788 3.387887 4.572829 6.329392 8.928306 13.252027
2025-10-26 1.882503 2.498719 3.346641 4.635911 6.616819 9.673309 15.027676
2025-11-02 1.783858 2.409159 3.289704 4.665355 6.849231 10.352619 16.796891
2025-11-09 1.652232 2.261872 3.136127 4.531681 6.806135 10.572324 17.786037
2025-11-16 1.554232 2.155980 3.034393 4.466655 6.862771 10.959115 19.136914
2025-11-23 1.477012 2.075162 2.963513 4.442367 6.981177 11.462277 20.792786
2025-11-30 1.443666 2.057507 2.987031 4.571335 7.373001 12.505005 23.736535
2025-12-07 1.375501 1.983688 2.919635 4.546735 7.497257 13.076845 25.831243
2025-12-14 1.308586 1.907849 2.843918 4.501451 7.578914 13.577432 27.878606
2025-12-21 1.216955 1.787839 2.688970 4.305530 7.357782 13.438125 28.386122
2025-12-28 1.178282 1.750172 2.666677 4.342255 7.584925 14.256506 31.432976
2026-01-04 1.150304 1.727956 2.668223 4.421273 7.902415 15.313419 35.366823
2026-01-11 1.123152 1.705349 2.667223 4.494734 8.215785 16.408384 39.711685
2026-01-18 1.095728 1.680614 2.660641 4.556462 8.510777 17.506854 44.396427
2026-01-25 1.064742 1.648112 2.638193 4.585272 8.737864 18.478491 49.000002
2026-02-01 1.011171 1.574458 2.538398 4.454468 8.600845 18.525425 50.622853
2026-02-08 0.971172 1.522385 2.474626 4.390830 8.607759 18.941356 53.631745
2026-02-15 0.939426 1.483214 2.432157 4.367058 8.703110 19.604469 57.742865